New York London GMT Tokyo Sydney

The Dangers of Forex Fundamental Analysis

Forex analysis is divided into two forms when dealing with trading currencies or other financial instruments – fundamental and technical analysis. They both represent a strong form of analyzing the market. This article would examine the dangers facing forex fundamental analysis.

Fundamental analysis dwells on the general state of the economy, monetary policies, interest rate fluctuations which in a lot of ways affects the economic situations in a country. It makes a lot of sense when investors try to investigate how the market oscillates and how the global economy takes its toll on the financial markets. This can be achieved via fundamental analysis but solely depending on it can be very damaging. Most times by the time we get fundamental news, there are folks out there who have acted on it before us and the resultant of this is shown on the charts.

We find fundamental data most times as being unbalanced as they fail to factor in a whole bunch of information and we find regions wanting to depict that they are doing great in good times and okay during rough times. We can correlate this to a couple of political interference. Hence, it is wise not to be totally confident as fundamental analysis should serve as a guide complementing your technical analysis.

When we get news releases, we find almost all investors getting the same idea of the market and this creates a surge in price actions. You’ll find either everyone in the market saying it’s a buy, a sell or a wait. It is possible for you at this time to join in for some profit making. We still find investors who no matter the odds, would stick to their trading principles (which is what the charts interpret.

A disciplined investor will apply some long-term fundamental analysis alongside trend following technical analysis to develop a firm trade background. We find some short term news like Non-farm payrolls (NFP), produce some knee jerk reactions in the market. This market reaction produces quite a number of false alarms that misleads the investor into thinking theirs a change in market direction.

Being able to solely analyze the market via fundamental analysis would not adequately give you a vivid image of trade decisions to make. It is always advised that technical analysis be added to make the trade decision more accurate. If you remain uncertain about how news can hamper your trade decision, then you should stay off the market during high impact news and wait around for at least a day whist observing the market’s movement.

Speak Your Mind

Tell us what you're thinking...
and oh, if you want a pic to show with your comment, go get a gravatar!